<style type="text/css">a[data-mtli~="mtli_filesize23,6MB"]:after {content:" (23,6 MB)"}</style><style type="text/css">a[data-mtli~="mtli_filesize23,6MB"]:after {content:" (23,6 MB)"}</style>{"id":3286,"date":"2026-07-28T21:49:41","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T21:49:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/?page_id=3286"},"modified":"2026-07-28T21:49:41","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T21:49:41","slug":"uwarunkowania-synoptyczne-wystepowania-dobowych-sum-opadow-atmosferycznych-powyzej-100-mm-w-bielsku-bialej","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/?page_id=3286","title":{"rendered":"UWARUNKOWANIA SYNOPTYCZNE WYST\u0118POWANIA DOBOWYCH SUM OPAD\u00d3W ATMOSFERYCZNYCH POWY\u017bEJ 100 MM W BIELSKU-BIA\u0141EJ"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"font-weight: bold;text-transform: uppercase;color: #000000;font-size: 14pt\"><a name=\"10.32045\/PG-2026-058\"><\/a><!--(opis_kotwicy nie koniecznie musi by\u0107)--><a name=\"nazwa_kotwicy\"><\/a><!--(opis_kotwicy)-->UWARUNKOWANIA SYNOPTYCZNE WYST\u0118POWANIA DOBOWYCH SUM OPAD\u00d3W ATMOSFERYCZNYCH POWY\u017bEJ 100 MM W BIELSKU-BIA\u0141EJ<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000000\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt\">Synoptic determinants of daily precipitation totals exceeding 100 mm in Bielsko-Bia\u0142a<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;color: #3366ff\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff\">Izabela Guzik, Robert Twardosz, Marta Cebulska<\/span><\/span><\/span><em><br \/>\n<\/em><em>Przegl\u0105d Geofizyczny (2026) vol. 71, iss. 1-2, pp. 5-24<\/em><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000000\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.32045\/PG-2026-058<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Guzik-i-in_PG1-2.pdf\" class=\"mtli_attachment mtli_pdf\" data-mtli=\"mtli_filesize23,6MB\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">Tekst \/ Text<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #000000\"><strong>Streszczenie<br \/>\n<\/strong>Celem pracy jest analiza uwarunkowa\u0144 synoptycznych wyst\u0119powania dobowych sum opad\u00f3w atmosferycznych przekraczaj\u0105cych 100 mm w Bielsku-Bia\u0142ej w latach 1951-2025. Na podstawie tych danych z 75-lecia wy\u0142oniono 7 takich epizod\u00f3w opadowych w miesi\u0105cach od maja do wrze\u015bnia. Ponad po\u0142owa tych zdarze\u0144 (4 przypadki) przypad\u0142a na lata 2010-2025. Uzyskane wyniki wskazuj\u0105, \u017ce opady przekraczaj\u0105ce 100 mm s\u0105 \u015bci\u015ble zwi\u0105zane z okre\u015blonymi sytuacjami synoptycznymi, zw\u0142aszcza z adwekcj\u0105 wilgotnych mas powietrza w tylnej cz\u0119\u015bci ni\u017c\u00f3w \u015br\u00f3dziemnomorskich \u2013 5 przypadk\u00f3w oraz z epizodami g\u0142\u0119bokiej konwekcji \u2013 2 przypadki. Opady tej kategorii s\u0105 efektem \u0142\u0105cznego oddzia\u0142ywania warunk\u00f3w synoptycznych (fronty atmosferyczne), warunk\u00f3w termodynamicznych (ciep\u0142e i wilgotne masy powietrzne) oraz orograficznych (pasma Beskid\u00f3w). Zwi\u0119kszona liczba takich epizod\u00f3w w ostatnich latach mo\u017ce mie\u0107 zwi\u0105zek z ociepleniem klimatu i wi\u0119ksz\u0105 zasobno\u015bci\u0105 atmosfery w par\u0119 wodn\u0105. Wyniki podkre\u015blaj\u0105 znaczenie analizy warunk\u00f3w synoptycznych w prognozowaniu opad\u00f3w ekstremalnych oraz potrzeb\u0119 rozszerzenia bada\u0144 na obszar ca\u0142ych Karpat.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #000000\"><strong>S\u0142owa kluczowe:<\/strong> opady powodziowe, sytuacja synoptyczna, Beskid \u015al\u0105ski, ni\u017ce \u015br\u00f3dziemnomorskie<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #000000\"><strong>Abstract<br \/>\n<\/strong>The aim of this study is to analyse the synoptic conditions accompanying daily precipitation totals exceeding 100 mm in Bielsko-Bia\u0142a over the 75-year period 1951-2025. Based on long-term precipitation data, seven such extreme precipitation episodes were identified between May and September. More than half of these events, i.e. four cases, occurred during 2010-2025. The results indicate that precipitation totals exceeding 100 mm are closely linked to specific synoptic situations, particularly the advection of moist air masses on the rear side of Mediterranean cyclones, which occurred in five cases, and episodes of deep convection, which occurred in two cases. Precipitation of this magnitude results from the combined influence of synoptic conditions, including atmospheric fronts, thermodynamic conditions, namely warm and humid air masses, and orographic factors associated with the Beskid mountain ranges. The increased frequency of such episodes in recent years may be related to ongoing climate warming and the resulting increase in atmospheric moisture content. The findings highlight the importance of analysing synoptic conditions for the forecasting of extreme precipitation events and emphasise the need to extend such research to the entire Carpathian region.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #000000\"><strong>Keywords<\/strong>: flood precipitation, synoptic situation, Silesian Beskid, Mediterranean cyclones<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">Article is licensed under <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/?ref=chooser-v1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"license noopener noreferrer\"><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff\">CC BY 4.0<\/span><\/strong><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"height: 22px!important;margin-left: 3px;vertical-align: text-bottom\" src=\"https:\/\/mirrors.creativecommons.org\/presskit\/icons\/cc.svg?ref=chooser-v1\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"height: 22px!important;margin-left: 3px;vertical-align: text-bottom\" src=\"https:\/\/mirrors.creativecommons.org\/presskit\/icons\/by.svg?ref=chooser-v1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" rel=\"license\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-width: 0\" src=\"https:\/\/i.creativecommons.org\/l\/by\/4.0\/88x31.png\" alt=\"Licencja Creative Commons\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UWARUNKOWANIA SYNOPTYCZNE WYST\u0118POWANIA DOBOWYCH SUM OPAD\u00d3W ATMOSFERYCZNYCH POWY\u017bEJ 100 MM W BIELSKU-BIA\u0141EJ Synoptic determinants of daily precipitation totals exceeding 100 mm in Bielsko-Bia\u0142a Izabela Guzik, Robert Twardosz, Marta Cebulska Przegl\u0105d Geofizyczny (2026) vol. 71, iss. 1-2, pp. 5-24 https:\/\/doi.org\/10.32045\/PG-2026-058 Tekst&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-3286","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3286","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3286"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3286\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3287,"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3286\/revisions\/3287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ptgeof.pl\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}